• Nicholas Mazza

Trump Ties Biden in Pennsylvania in New Rasmussen Poll

President Trump has tied Joe Biden in Pennsylvania, a key swing state. Pennsylvania, a traditional blue stronghold, was won by Trump in 2016. In this new poll, the President received 27% of the black vote, matching his recent upward treads among the African-American community.

From Rasmussen Reports:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey of Likely Voters in the Keystone State finds Trump and Biden with 46% support each. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and another four percent (4%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

Among the 82% of voters who say they are certain now how they will vote in the presidential election, Trump holds a slight 51% to 49% advantage.

The president carries 86% of the Republican vote and leads among voters not affiliated with either major party by 11 points. Biden takes 81% of the Democrat vote.

Trump leads among men and middle-aged voters. Biden carries women, those under 40 and seniors.

Worrisome for the former vice president is his 67% black support, low for a Democrat, with the incumbent earning 27% of the black vote in Pennsylvania. Trump leads among whites and other minority voters.

The Pennsylvania survey of 1,000 Likely U.S. Voters was conducted August 25-27, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

In 2016, close polls favored Trump and it seems likely that they will favor him again. One reason is the enthusiasm gap is still very wide. Trump voters are much more likely to show up on election night compared to those that are leaning towards Biden.

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